Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.401126 2.623788 2.862523 3.138302 3.449051 3.789471 4.192101
2025-11-23 2.071741 2.372304 2.714674 3.136395 3.645812 4.246315 5.015252
2025-11-30 1.904842 2.256990 2.676467 3.218916 3.910554 4.775042 5.956909
2025-12-07 1.738807 2.114232 2.576985 3.198486 4.025677 5.109959 6.675440
2025-12-14 1.600764 1.988118 2.479252 3.160162 4.100218 5.384423 7.330598
2025-12-21 1.456929 1.840167 2.337151 3.044073 4.049736 5.471577 7.716643
2025-12-28 1.380685 1.773531 2.294679 3.055622 4.172152 5.808577 8.508111
2026-01-04 1.322679 1.725952 2.272450 3.090437 4.326839 6.203552 9.436843
2026-01-11 1.273427 1.686100 2.256552 3.130564 4.489562 6.623387 10.460099
2026-01-18 1.227063 1.646609 2.237278 3.162157 4.639069 7.034168 11.523079
2026-01-25 1.177657 1.599285 2.202695 3.166262 4.742816 7.376969 12.510189
2026-02-01 1.114339 1.527938 2.127766 3.101084 4.725782 7.508663 13.113311
2026-02-08 1.061606 1.470432 2.071697 3.064085 4.756489 7.734317 13.952343
2026-02-15 1.018684 1.425311 2.031789 3.050122 4.825085 8.035819 14.998414
2026-02-22 1.000779 1.416799 2.047529 3.128193 5.061235 8.676195 16.886205
2026-03-01 0.962267 1.374463 2.007230 3.108307 5.117754 8.974785 18.063149
2026-03-08 0.922991 1.328949 1.959174 3.071336 5.138534 9.202955 19.115972
2026-03-15 0.870950 1.261059 1.871470 2.959386 5.007979 9.105706 19.352724
2026-03-22 0.847181 1.236957 1.854089 2.970524 5.114686 9.517963 20.963748
2026-03-29 0.829235 1.221260 1.849592 3.004101 5.267795 10.048310 23.005084
2026-04-05 0.813247 1.207916 1.848148 3.042795 5.434186 10.629060 25.327227
2026-04-12 0.796640 1.192741 1.842649 3.073256 5.586003 11.196013 27.756075
2026-04-19 0.776371 1.170589 1.823927 3.077214 5.682047 11.643180 29.937865